000
WTNT23 KNHC 022046
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  91.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  91.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  91.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.9N  91.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.5N  91.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.2N  91.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.7N  91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.1N  89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE   0SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N  88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 33.6N  86.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  91.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART