000
WTNT23 KNHC 200249
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
0300 UTC SAT AUG 20 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  85.2W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 35NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  15SE  15SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  85.2W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  84.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.4N  86.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.8N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N  90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.5N  96.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  85.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN