000
WTNT23 KNHC 190249
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
0300 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE COAST OF GUATEMALA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH COAST
OF HONDURAS AND THE BAY ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  82.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  82.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  81.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N  83.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N  84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.9N  86.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N  88.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.0N  93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  82.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN