000
WTNT23 KNHC 190235
TCMAT3
HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
0300 UTC WED AUG 19 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BILL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  53.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 210SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  53.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  52.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N  55.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.8N  60.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.8N  62.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 175SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 100SW 175NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 35.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 42.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  53.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH