000
WTNT23 KNHC 161441
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  38.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  38.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  37.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.6N  40.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.4N  43.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.3N  45.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.2N  48.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 24.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  38.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE