000 WTNT23 KNHC 160849 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 37.2W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 25SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 37.2W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 36.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.8N 39.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N 41.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.4N 44.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N 47.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 53.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N 58.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 37.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG