000
WTNT23 KNHC 152033
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  35.2W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  35.2W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  34.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.2N  37.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.5N  40.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  35.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA