000
WTNT23 KNHC 052100
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
2100 UTC WED NOV 05 2008
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM THE NICARAGUA BORDER TO LIMON.
 
AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  81.8W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  81.8W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  81.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.3N  82.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.8N  82.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.5N  82.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  81.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH