000 WTNT23 KNHC 110232 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182003 0300Z SAT OCT 11 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 69.8W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 69.8W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 69.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.6N 70.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.3N 71.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.2N 71.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 25SW 0NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.0N 70.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 25SW 0NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.0N 64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 200SE 100SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 41.5N 54.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 44.5N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 69.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN