000
WTNT22 KNHC 040232
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC WED OCT 04 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  65.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  65.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.2N  65.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.8N  66.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.9N  66.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.8N  66.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.7N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.9N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  40SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 40.5N  66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 49.0N  69.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  65.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI