000 WTNT22 KNHC 072100 CCA TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022 2100 UTC MON NOV 07 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...AND ELEUTHERA. THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER SOUTH TO EAST PALATKA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...AND ELEUTHERA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO HALLANDALE BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALTAMAHA SOUND TO HALLANDALE BEACH * MOUTH OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER TO EAST PALATKA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE * HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 70.6W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......270NE 270SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 120SE 90SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 70.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 70.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.3N 71.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 0SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.6N 73.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 50SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 75.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...300NE 90SE 150SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.7N 77.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...320NE 90SE 150SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 80.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...300NE 90SE 90SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.0N 82.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 80SE 80SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.2N 82.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 37.5N 73.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 70.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN