000
WTNT22 KNHC 151450
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND
ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. MAARTEN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE 
AREAS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  54.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  54.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  53.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N  56.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.7N  58.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.9N  61.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.2N  63.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N  65.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.8N  66.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 19.3N  68.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N  70.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  54.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 15/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG