000 WTNT22 KNHC 010851 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022 0900 UTC FRI JUL 01 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER TO LAGUNA DE PERLAS NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN ANDRES COLOMBIA * LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO BLANCO COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG BOTH THE CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA LATER TODAY. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 79.2W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 79.2W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 78.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.3N 81.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.3N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.3N 86.5W...OVER PACIFIC OCEAN MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 11.7N 89.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.4N 91.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.3N 94.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N 100.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 16.6N 105.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 79.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG