000 WTNT22 KNHC 300843 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022 0900 UTC THU JUN 30 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF SAN ANDRES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER TO LAGUNA DE PERLAS NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA WESTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA * COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO SANTA MARTA * SAN ANDRES COLOMBIA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER * NORTH OF LAGUNA DE PERLAS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG BOTH THE CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 72.4W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 72.4W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 71.4W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.0N 75.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.1N 81.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.1N 84.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.1N 87.1W...OVER PACIFIC OCEAN MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 11.5N 89.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N 95.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.2N 100.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 72.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 30/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG