139 
WTNT22 KNHC 200249
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
0300 UTC MON SEP 20 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  31.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  31.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  30.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N  32.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.9N  34.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N  35.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.6N  36.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N  37.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  38.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 27.1N  40.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N  40.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  31.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN