887 
WTNT22 KNHC 040830
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC SAT SEP 04 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  44.6W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  44.6W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  44.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.2N  46.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.4N  48.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.7N  50.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N  52.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N  54.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.3N  56.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.1N  59.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 30.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  44.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI