000
WTNT22 KNHC 012035
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC WED SEP 01 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  29.4W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  29.4W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  28.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N  31.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.0N  34.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.7N  38.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.6N  40.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.6N  43.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.9N  46.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  29.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN