000
WTNT22 KNHC 011448
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  27.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  27.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  26.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.4N  30.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.7N  33.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.2N  36.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.9N  39.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.0N  41.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.2N  44.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N  49.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  27.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN