000
WTNT22 KNHC 010842
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC WED SEP 01 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  24.8W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  24.8W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  23.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.5N  27.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N  30.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.1N  33.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.6N  36.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.4N  39.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.2N  46.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.3N  50.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  24.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART