000
WTNT22 KNHC 221457
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  61.2W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......270NE 200SE 120SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..630NE 360SE 510SW 510NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  61.2W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.9N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.4N  61.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.1N  61.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.9N  60.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...300NE 260SE 200SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.6N  57.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.0N  50.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 150SE 120SW  40NW.
34 KT...290NE 320SE 310SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 52.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  61.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN