000
WTNT22 KNHC 201451
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
1500 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  55.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......260NE  60SE  50SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 120SE 270SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  55.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  54.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.4N  56.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE  90SE  60SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.2N  58.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...270NE 100SE  60SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N  59.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 120SE  70SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 130SE  80SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.4N  60.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.4N  61.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 39.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  55.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 20/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN