000
WTNT22 KNHC 122045
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  58.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  58.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  57.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.2N  60.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.3N  62.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N  64.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.5N  64.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 35.3N  63.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N  59.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 40.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 43.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  58.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 13/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG