000
WTNT22 KNHC 120249
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  54.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  54.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  54.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.1N  56.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.5N  58.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.6N  61.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.7N  63.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.1N  65.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.8N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 37.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  54.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 12/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY