000
WTNT22 KNHC 102033
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
2100 UTC THU SEP 10 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  50.1W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  70SE  60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 210SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  50.1W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  49.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE  50SE  30SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.6N  53.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.0N  55.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.6N  56.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.0N  58.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.2N  61.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 31.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 34.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  50.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG