000
WTNT22 KNHC 231444
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020
1500 UTC THU JUL 23 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  48.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  48.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  47.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z  9.8N  50.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.1N  52.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.5N  55.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 11.2N  59.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.9N  62.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.6N  65.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 14.0N  71.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 15.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.6N  48.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 23/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG