000
WTNT22 KNHC 220831
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020
0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020
 
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  42.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  42.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  41.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 10.2N  44.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 10.2N  46.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 10.2N  49.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 10.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 10.8N  54.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.3N  57.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 12.7N  64.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N  42.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH