663 
WTNT22 KNHC 251450
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122019
1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  64.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  64.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  65.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N  64.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N  63.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.9N  62.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.8N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 26.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  64.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG