000
WTNT22 KNHC 110833
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072014
0900 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.


SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  64.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  64.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  64.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.1N  64.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 32.2N  63.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 35.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  64.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA