000
WTNT22 KNHC 052035
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122013
2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA.
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES...INCLUDING THOSE FOR NEW ORLEANS...
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS...HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  91.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  91.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  91.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.6N  91.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.3N  89.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.6N  87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.7N  84.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N  91.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN