000
WTNT22 KNHC 110258
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N  57.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  35 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 325SE 380SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N  57.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1N  58.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 47.6N  54.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.2N  47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 59.8N  38.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 62.5N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 62.5N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 240SE 300SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.7N  57.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART