000
WTNT22 KNHC 101455
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOR TO TRITON.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  60.2W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  60.2W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  60.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 41.4N  58.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 48.0N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 55.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 250SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 60.5N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 360SE 300SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N  60.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA