000
WTNT22 KNHC 070233
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0300 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3
DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  80SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.8N  62.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.2N  62.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.0N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.3N  62.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 37.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN