000
WTNT22 KNHC 030238
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  61.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE  60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  61.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  61.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.4N  62.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.4N  62.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.6N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 28.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 30.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  61.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH