000
WTNT22 KNHC 012039
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  57.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  57.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  56.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.3N  59.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.9N  61.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.6N  62.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.9N  62.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.3N  62.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 29.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  57.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE