000
WTNT22 KNHC 010845
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0900 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LESLIE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  53.5W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  53.5W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  52.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  55.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.2N  57.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.6N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.1N  60.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 26.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  53.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG