000
WTNT22 KNHC 010244
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LESLIE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  52.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  52.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  52.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.3N  54.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.7N  57.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.1N  59.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.6N  60.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 26.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  52.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN