000
WTNT22 KNHC 310848
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  47.8W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  47.8W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.1N  50.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.4N  52.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.6N  55.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.9N  57.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 27.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  47.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG