000
WTNT22 KNHC 101452
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION SINCE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS
COULD BE REQUIRED AT ANY TIME.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  49.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  49.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.7N  52.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.1N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.6N  62.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  49.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG