000
WTNT22 KNHC 161438
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR DOMINICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  55.8W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  55.8W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  54.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.2N  58.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.1N  62.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.1N  66.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.3N  70.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 25.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS