000
WTNT22 KNHC 160246
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS WHICH INCLUDES MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
ST.KITTS...NEVIS AND ANGUILLA.  AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.7N  54.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N  61.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.5N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 22.5N  78.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N  83.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  51.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA