000
WTNT22 KNHC 152032
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLAND ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST.
EUSTATIUS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  50.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  50.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  49.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.7N  52.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.4N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.1N  59.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.2N  63.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N  70.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 21.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  50.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN