000
WTNT22 KNHC 151431
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  48.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  48.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  47.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.6N  50.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.2N  54.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.1N  58.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  60SW  85NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  48.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN