000
WTNT22 KNHC 090245
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
0300 UTC SUN NOV 09 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN
SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  77.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  77.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.4N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.8N  76.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.3N  75.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.6N  75.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.0N  76.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N  77.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  77.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART