000
WTNT22 KNHC 072048
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
2100 UTC FRI NOV 07 2008
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...
CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  81.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  81.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  81.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.3N  80.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.2N  79.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.1N  78.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.8N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.7N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.5N  75.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N  75.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  81.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE