000
WTNT22 KNHC 100832
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC THU JUL 10 2008
 
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD
IMPACT BERMUDA.  INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  59.4W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  59.4W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  59.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N  60.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N  61.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.1N  61.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.9N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 36.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  59.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH