696 
WTNT21 KNHC 101447
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES COULD
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS BY TUESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  60.0W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  60.0W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.5N  61.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.4N  64.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.8N  67.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.0N  76.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 35.0N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE