652 
WTNT21 KNHC 020253
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  30.2W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  30.2W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  29.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N  32.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.1N  35.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.6N  37.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.2N  40.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.5N  44.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  30.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN