000 WTNT21 KNHC 282042 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012018 2100 UTC MON MAY 28 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS EAST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * AUCILLA RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * AUCILLA RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 85.9W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 85.9W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 85.9W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N 86.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.3N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.0N 87.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 40.1N 86.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 46.2N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 85.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN