000
WTNT21 KNHC 181455
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JULIA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  77.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.5N  77.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.4N  77.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.8N  77.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.2N  77.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.5N  77.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART