000
WTNT21 KNHC 180845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
0900 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JULIA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  76.7W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  76.7W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  76.6W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.8N  77.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.4N  77.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.3N  76.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.7N  77.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.5N  77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  76.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE